Factors affecting future scenarios for alternative vehicles market
Russo Spena, P
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In the literature, many foresight methods have been used to cope with uncertainty concerning the future demand for electric, hydrogen, and plug-in hybrid vehicles. As a result, different scenarios and roadmap have been provided, often with contrasting outcomes. This paper is a short review of the existing literature aiming to summarize the main results obtained so far, describing the diverse ranges of possible development of these alternative vehicles over the next 40 years. This paper then addresses some key questions through the answers provided by the literature: what are the drivers of an alternative vehicles economy? What are the principal barriers and the strategic goals? When will an economy of alternative vehicles emerge? What does an alternative vehicle economy attain?