Abstract
With climate change intensifying, forests globally are becoming more susceptible to extreme weather events, such as windstorms, which account for a significant share of Europe’s economic losses. The Vaia windstorm of late autumn 2018, striking Italy’s North-East alpine ecosystem, highlighted this vulnerability, toppling over 8.5 million cubic meters of timber and sparking debates on forest management’s role in mitigating such disasters. This study aims to evaluate the impact of structural and topographical characteristics on the damage caused by Vaia, using Airborne Light Detection And Ranging (LiDAR) data collected before the storm, in four heavily affected forest areas in the Italian Alps (Carezza in the Province of Bolzano-Bozen, Predazzo, Manghen, and Primiero in the Province of Trento). We analyzed structural metrics like forest height heterogeneity (HH), forest mean height, and density, alongside topographical features such as aspect, slope, and altitude, to discern their influence on the storm’s severity. Our results revealed that the most significant difference between affected and unaffected areas is forest mean height that was found higher in areas hit by the storm. Forest density played a lesser but important role, with denser areas experiencing more severe damage, though this was only significant in certain areas. Contrary to common assumptions, our analysis revealed that forest height heterogeneity (HH) did not have a significant effect on damage levels. The findings, consistent with previous research, revealed a significant association between specific aspects, particularly the South-East orientation, which aligned with the predominant wind direction during the Vaia storm, and an increased likelihood of damage. Both structural and topographical factors interact in complex ways to influence the outcome of such extreme events. The study emphasizes the dominant impact of the Vaia windstorm, noting that while managing forest height and density may help, the diverse topography complicates these efforts. Our study explicitly tested the effectiveness of using Airborne LiDAR data to explore forest structural and topographical factors that influenced Vaia storm damage. The achieved results demonstrate that LiDAR serves as a useful tool to field data, offering valuable insights for broader applications in this domain.