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Supporting Interpretability in Predictive Process Monitoring Using Process Maps
Conference proceeding   Peer reviewed

Supporting Interpretability in Predictive Process Monitoring Using Process Maps

ARC Maita, M Fantinato, SM Peres and Fabrizio Maria Maggi
Enterprise Information Systems: 25th International Conference, ICEIS 2023, Prague, Czech Republic, April 24–26, 2023, Revised Selected Papers, Part I, Vol.518, pp.230-246
Lecture Notes in Business Information Processing, 518
International Conference on Enterprise Information Systems, ICEIS - Proceedings (Prague, 24/04/2023–26/04/2023)
2024
Handle:
https://hdl.handle.net/10863/53373

Abstract

Process mining Explainable Machine Learning XAI Interpretable machine learning Predictive process monitoring
Most predictive process monitoring approaches rely on machine learning techniques. These approaches predict, e.g., the outcome of a process case. As widely known, many machine learning techniques do not inherently provide insights in a useful format for business process experts to interpret the provided predictions and understand the logic used to derive such predictions. Recently, we proposed VisInter4PPM, a business-oriented approach to visually support interpretability in predictive process monitoring. In this paper, we apply VisInter4PPM to a loan request business process, whose behavior is represented in a real-world event log of a financial institution. This is a multiclass prediction problem where requests can be approved, declined, or cancelled. VisInter4PPM relies on the results of the SP-LIME interpreter to generate explanations about the influence of each business process activity on the case outcome. Thus, the SP-LIME results are visually projected onto a BPMN process model. The resulting process map shows which activities contribute to the predicted outcome and to what extent.
url
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-64748-2_11View

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