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Analysing multi-hazard risk by integrating Forensic Analysis and Impact Chains

Analysing multi-hazard risk by integrating Forensic Analysis and Impact Chains

We4DRR annual network event (Bolzano, 08/04/2025–09/04/2025)
2025
:
https://hdl.handle.net/10863/51513
Understanding the dynamics and complexities related to multi-hazard risk analysis requires innovative methodologies. To respond to this challenge, the PARATUS project developed a new framework that integrates forensic analysis and impact chains, combining the strengths of both approaches. On the one hand, the forensic analysis consists in the in-depth analysis of past disasters, focusing on understanding the role of socio-ecological dynamics, root causes and human agency concurring to risk materialisation. Impact chains, on the other hand, are conceptual models that aim to provide a structured framework for pinpointing interconnections among risk components as well as identifying cascading indirect consequences. The combination of both approaches allows to identify weaknesses and lessons learned, capitalizing on past experiences and identifying the entry points for adaptation.
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